The European Union is facing a daunting balancing act in the wake of its new trade deal with the United States. It must now implement a pact that strongly favors German automotive interests while managing the deep anger and economic pain of other key constituencies, such as French wine producers and Italian manufacturers.
The deal’s structure forces this internal conflict to the forefront. To secure the much-needed tariff cut for its car industry, the EU as a whole must pass legislation that benefits the US. This requires a unified political will that is currently fractured by the deal’s lopsided outcomes.
Germany will push hard for a swift and clean implementation to protect its €161 billion export market to the US. However, France is already signaling its intent to seek “additional exemptions” for its wine sector, potentially complicating the process. Italy, facing a projected €22.6 billion export hit, has little incentive to enthusiastically support a deal it deems “unfair and disproportionate.”
This puts the European Commission in an incredibly difficult position. It must navigate these competing national and industrial interests to fulfill its commitment to Washington. How successfully it performs this balancing act will determine not only the fate of the auto tariffs but also the internal cohesion of the Union’s single trade policy.
